No-Vig, Hold and Arbitrage Calculator

Two-way odds in. No-vig fair price, hold and an equal-payout stake split out. American or decimal.

What each number is

  • Implied probability: 1 divided by the decimal price, margin included
  • Hold: the two implied probabilities added, minus 100%
  • No-vig fair probability: each side's implied probability divided by their sum
  • No-vig fair price: 1 divided by the fair probability
  • Stake split: each side's share of the total is its implied probability over their sum, so either side pays the same
  • Negative hold: the two prices add up below 100%, an arbitrage at these prices

Worked examples

  • -110 and -110: hold 4.76%, no-vig fair price +100 on both sides
  • -115 and -105: hold 4.71%, no-vig fair price -104 and +104
  • +105 and +102: hold -1.71%, so $100 splits $49.63 and $50.37 and returns at least $101.74 either way

Odds formats

  • American: +150, -110, or 150 for +150
  • American prices between -100 and +100 are refused
  • Decimal: 2.50, 1.91
  • Decimal prices below 1.001 are refused

Before you stake

  • A no-vig price is what the two prices imply with the margin removed, not a true probability
  • A locked margin holds only if both sides are accepted at these prices
  • Sportsbooks limit and close accounts that arb or middle consistently

The Market tier's price board runs this math across the books quoting each market.

Plans and pricing

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